Research consultancy
Study Topic and Objectives
The study focused on malaria prevalence among children under five years old in Uganda. It was guided by three main objectives:
- To compare malaria prevalence by residence (rural vs. urban) and region in Uganda.
- To determine the distribution of malaria across Uganda.
- To forecast malaria prevalence among children under five up to the year 2022.
Key Findings
- Residence Comparison: Rural areas recorded significantly higher malaria cases, with a mean of 2,988.23 cases (SD = 457.718), compared to urban areas, which had a mean of 314.32 cases (SD = 142.437). This indicates a higher malaria burden in rural communities.
- Regional Distribution: The Eastern region had the highest malaria cases (mean = 1,022.03, SD = 192.211), followed by the Northern region (mean = 902.48, SD = 158.922). The Western and Central regions reported means of 578.06 (SD = 184.080) and 787.23 (SD = 154.660), respectively.
- Statistical Analysis: When malaria cases in the North, East, and West were zero, the baseline malaria prevalence was 604.537. A unit increase in cases in the Central region led to an average decrease of 0.366 cases in the North, though this effect was statistically insignificant (p-value = 0.082 > 0.05). Thus, the null hypothesis was accepted, indicating no significant difference in malaria prevalence across regions.
Conclusions
- Malaria prevalence varies by region, with some areas experiencing higher cases than others.
- Malaria cases are increasing over time.
- Variations in total malaria cases are influenced by changes in both rural and urban areas.
- Rural areas consistently report higher malaria rates than urban areas.
Recommendations
- Malaria Control: Strengthen efforts to combat malaria to address its associated challenges.
- Healthcare Workforce: The government should increase the number of health workers in public hospitals.